Physica

05 Biology

Logistic NTCP

NTCP = 1 / (1 + exp(−4 γ₅₀ (D − TD₅₀)/TD₅₀)).

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Simulation

Logistic NTCP — Change the numbers; the scene follows.

Where it works

Linear accelerator

Linear accelerator

Isocenter

In the treated volume — tumour and OARs at isocenter, after the dose has been delivered.

Open this machine

Formula

NTCP=[1+exp(4γ50DTD50TD50)]1\mathrm{NTCP}=\left[1+\exp\left(-4\gamma_{50}\frac{D-TD_{50}}{TD_{50}}\right)\right]^{-1}

Variables

Results

  • NTCP

    Normal-tissue complication probability

    0.0923

  • NTCP

    NTCP

    9.23%

Curve

Explanation

NTCP=[1+exp(4γ50DTD50TD50)]1\mathrm{NTCP}=\left[1+\exp\left(-4\gamma_{50}\frac{D-TD_{50}}{TD_{50}}\right)\right]^{-1}

What it means

A logistic NTCP is a sigmoid in dose: 50% complications at TD₅₀, with normalised slope γ₅₀ (percent response per percent dose at the 50% point). It is a lightweight stand-in for the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman model when you have a single equivalent uniform dose. This is a working relation in Radiobiology.

Where it is used

Clinically it sits on the Linear accelerator — Isocenter. In the treated volume — tumour and OARs at isocenter, after the dose has been delivered. Radiobiology sits between the prescription and the organ-at-risk: LQ, BED, EQD2, and why 2 Gy is not 2 Gy if the fraction size changed. Use it to compare regimens, not to invent one.

Linear accelerator · Open this machine

How to use it

Example: myelopathy TD₅₀ ~ 70 Gy (EQD₂) with a steep γ₅₀. Keep NTCP in the few-percent range for serial organs. For partial-volume effects you need an EUD/n parameter this calculator does not include. Change one input and watch the curve and the simulation follow.

Symbols

  • DDose50 Gy
  • TD_50Tolerance dose 50%70 Gy
  • γ_50Normalized slope at 50%2

Worked example

A typical case from the default values: D = 50 Gy (Dose); TD_50 = 70 Gy (Tolerance dose 50%); γ_50 = 2 (Normalized slope at 50%). Substituting into the relation gives NTCP = 0.0923; NTCP = 9.23 %. These are teaching numbers — align them with your machine.

Typical values give

  • NTCP = 0.0923
  • NTCP = 9.23%

Where it comes from

The displayed formula is the working relation. NTCP = 1 / (1 + exp(−4 γ₅₀ (D − TD₅₀)/TD₅₀)). Usual reference: Lyman / logistic approximation. Derive it in the specialty lesson, then return here to pin the numbers.

Reference: Lyman / logistic approximation

Assumptions & limits

Uniform organ dose, no volume effect (n=1 serial). Not a fitted LKB (m, n, TD₅₀) triple. Educational, not a protocol constraint.

Pitfalls

α/β is a model parameter, not a measured organ. BED from incomplete repair or a changed overall time is not the simple n·d·(1+d/(α/β)). Never EQD2 a stereotactic dose with an α/β you did not state. Uniform organ dose, no volume effect (n=1 serial). Not a fitted LKB (m, n, TD₅₀) triple. Educational, not a protocol constraint.

Keep this

Always write α/β and the fraction size next to a BED or EQD2. Uniform organ dose, no volume effect (n=1 serial). Not a fitted LKB (m, n, TD₅₀) triple. Educational, not a protocol constraint.

In this specialty

Radiobiology